Financial analysts pay attention to political factors of fluctuation of currencies of the Photo: depositphotos.com of One of the reasons of depreciation of the Russian currency became messages about plans of the U. S. Congress to impose new sanctions against a sovereign debt of Russia. Oil grows because of aggravation of a situation in the Middle East. We discussed a situation in the foreign exchange market with the senior analyst of "BKS of Premieres" Sergey Suverov. — On Friday the subject of possible American sanctions against a national debt, against state banks dominated. Of course, the markets already for a long time did not hear anything new concerning sanctions. This subject was discussed how we know, and last year, but did not gain development. But nevertheless the fact that it rose in the agenda, however, again cannot be told that it is an initiative of all congress, the group of democrats in the congress made such proposal, and not the fact that it will pass because before the same bills slipped already in the congress. Nevertheless the fact that in the agenda there was a sanctions subject again, of course, had an impact on ruble. Plus technically, probably, already there has to be a correction in ruble, that is the ruble was bought up, and this news about sanctions became an excellent opportunity for correction in ruble. — The ruble will continue to fall or now it is difficult to say what factors will influence it? If is, then to what marks? — It seems to me that it will be necessary to look at development of a subject of sanctions. If this subject gains development, then, perhaps, again we will see 65 and even above at the rate ruble dollar. But in general, of course, now there are more bases if this subject after all does not gain development for continuation of any moderate strengthening of ruble. It is connected, first of all, with news from FRS, from the fact that all wait for decrease in a rate of FRS in July. Naturally, it has negative effect on dollar exchange rate not only to ruble, but also to other currencies therefore, probably, this subject is key. Plus at the beginning will be July a meeting of OPEC. And, most likely, the transaction on production reduction will be prolonged, it very much will support both oil and ruble. In the nearest future ruble exchange rate will fluctuate near the current values — such opinion was expressed by the CEO of investment partnership of "Van Der the Black" Stanislav Mashagin. — At us, it should be noted, very low trading volume and a lack of liquidity in the market. It both the summer, and lack of some important guide, is not enough liquidity. Because of it the prices can go more, than in usual, normal, fully liquid market. Now there are not enough participants, applications even with one million dollars are satisfied a long time therefore also the movement more significant. Yes, we hesitate, there is an uncertainty, but it is impossible to call it a trend. — whether further the ruble Will be adjusted down and to what marks? — I do not think that it will be adjusted down, I think that it about the values will go to and fro. It is work just of professionals of the market — banks and exporters — to seize the moments. I think that it will fluctuate, each professional will earn the money. This is N
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