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Date: a month ago   Category: Finances

Whether the ruble can become stronger even stronger?


The next week ended with growth of national currency. Following the results the dollar is slightly higher than a mark of 64 rubles, euro — it is slightly lower than 72 rubles. Experts are sure that the ruble can become stronger even stronger than the Photo: Dmitry of Rogulin/TASS Since the beginning of year ruble exchange rate became stronger more than for 10%. Reasons of serious growth a little. First, oil rose in price already for 44% since the beginning of year and was fixed higher than 70 dollars for barrel. And, probably, it is not a limit: in the second quarter in commodity market the deficiency because of sanctions against Iran and Venezuela can be formed. The ruble is helped also by the general macroeconomic trends. There are signs of stabilization in China against the background of fiscal incentives and infrastructure projects. There are also other reasons for which growth of ruble will probably continue, the senior analyst of "BKS of Premieres" Sergey Suverov says. Sergey Suverov is the senior analyst of "BKS of Premieres" "We see record demand for federal loan bond: auctions of the Ministry of Finance take place very successfully, and buy including foreign players. Perhaps, this Kerry traders. After increase in a rate by the Central Bank at the end of last year and, on the contrary, preservation of rates in the USA at the previous level and softer rhetoric of FRS is the potential for Kerry trade. And already foreigners returned more than a half of the means removed since April, 2018 to the market of federal loan bond, there is rather big inflow which leads to strengthening of ruble. Therefore, probably, there are chances of strengthening of ruble up to 62.5-63 rubles for dollar to the middle of May. Though risks remain. Risks are political, connected with possible new strain of relations between the USA and Russia because of Venezuela, and risks on oil: it is unclear, whether the agreement of OPEC on oil production reduction will be prolonged". Than the dollar and euro are cheaper, subjects the question meets more often: whether it is time to buy. The currency is not the tool for investments, many experts say. The trip to America is planned — it is worth buying dollars especially as the course is better now, than at the beginning of a year. There are plans to Europe — it is necessary to take euro. But for investments it is better to pick up ruble tools, the CEO of investment partnership of "Van Der the Black" Stanislav Mashagin considers. Stanislav Mashagin the CEO of investment partnership of "Van Der the Black" "Is fine currency on which pay more percent — ruble of Russia. If to look for the last two years, for the Russian enterprises and citizens it is much more effective to work in ruble and to invest in ruble. Therefore it is necessary to look at the foreign exchange market occasionally, understanding that, by and large, there a calm. Neither eurobonds, nor the American stocks are the fine idea today for investment as the prices extremely high, the market of the American actions tests rather nervous tension. In this sense the Russian market looks much more attractively and is perspective: at us is where to grow. Sanctions, not sanctions — are objective things which can make profit. And eurobonds are extremely unprofitable, unless only to replace with them currency deposits. They will not bring special money: to whom will weather be made by 3-4% per annum?" The day before

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