If to follow data of the Russian Ministry of Defence, use of fighting substances can happen the Photo already in the next few days: Omar Sanadiki/Reuters becomes gradually simpler to Understand the Syrian conflict — at least in geographical sense. The government controls about two thirds of the territory of Syria. Kurds — a third more, all lands to the north from Euphrates. Americans directly hold a semicircle with a diameter of 100 kilometers at border with Jordan, around At-Tanf base. At last, the most probable following hot spot — Idlib Governorate in the northwest of the country. There most the remained groups of the so-called armed opposition (according to the West), or terrorists was dug round (according to Damascus). Exactly there is Khan-Sheykhun, the place of the last year's chemical attack, and Kafr Zeyta — the alleged place of future provocation. About the one who in fact can strike opposition, the editor-in-chief of Carnegie.ru Alexander Baunov:aleksandr Baunov the editor-in-chief of Carnegie.ru "In principle argues, both parties are capable of cunning and cruelty in that conflict. The Syrian sources, figuratively speaking, could play some game, informing Russia on the preparing provocation, and at the same time at the same time could prepare some use of fighting substances. On the other hand, really, we see that the American strategy connected anyway with Assad's overthrow has failed, and among allies there, on the area, there are people very cruel too, unscrupulous which, having been in a desperate situation, exactly using that the West, of course, will accuse Assad, can take such step too". The previous chemical attacks differ from probable, future in the fact that they happened without prevention. Now the Russian military knew of provocation in advance, and the Ministry of Defence has already read two versions. On the last, yesterday's, to Kafr Zeytu have brought special group of locals who will dramatize exactly the chemical attack with assistance of "masked rescuers" from among "White helmets". At the same time on Saturday, August 25, in the ministry said that to the province delivered eight containers with the real chlorine. The Russian military didn't explain a contradiction of two versions. If the chemical attack really happens whether such prevention will help to establish guilty persons? Or all will accuse all the same each other? The CEO of the Russian council for the international affairs Andrey Kortunov:andrey Kortunov the CEO of the Russian council for the international affairs "Of course comments, this preventive statement which is called so as far as it is possible not to allow new American blow to forces of Damascus, but also, perhaps, to prevent new aggravation around Idlib. Because it is obvious: if in Syria there is an aggravation, most likely, it will happen exactly there. As has shown experience, it is technologically quite difficult to record a source, to define guilty persons therefore here very wide field for interpretations, for use of any cases in current political to a conjunct remains
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