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Date: 3 months ago   Category: Finances

The Central Bank has improved the forecast of prices of oil


According to the report of the regulator, this year the cost of barrel is expected at the level of 69 dollars instead of former 67 dollars, in the following — 60 dollars. What it is connected with? Photo: depositphotos.com the Central Bank has raised the basic forecast for prices of oil. In the new report of the regulator on monetary policy it is said that this year it is expected at the level of 69 dollars for barrel, 67 dollars were predicted earlier. Next year the Central Bank expects 60 dollars for barrel, and in the 2020th — 55 dollars. Revision of the prices is connected with more considerable reduction of oil production in Venezuela and faster decrease in production and export in Iran and also with lower volume of supply of oil from Libya and Canada. But the Central Bank has also a risk scenario — on a case of new sanctions. Then price of oil will fall up to 35 dollars for barrel in 2019 and will remain at this level further. The deputy director general on investments of IK "Univer Capital" Dmitry Alexandrov comments: Dmitry Alexandrov the deputy CEO for investments of IK "Univer Capital" "A situation in itself when in the conditions of high volatility also the fork of any scenario forecasts increases, it is normal. The worst option in such conditions more corresponds there is nobody the stressful scenario. That is it is possible to lean on this option. The main thing that the budgetary rule podverstano reducing sensitivity of the budget to sharp fluctuations, including, naturally, and to reduction of prices. The second option which is more optimistical, but it, frankly speaking, bad shot because now it is possible to predict only maintaining high volatility is closer to me, probably. In this case we just see that the principle of conservatism works, that is the center of this expected fork is displaced significantly below than the current levels. In my opinion, when it does the Central Bank, it is good". Now the cost of Brent crude oil slightly exceeds 78 dollars for barrel. Besides, in the report the Central Bank has described pluses of raising the retirement age, having compared him to advantage as from the FIFA World Cup. According to the regulator, it will make a contribution to increase in rates of a gain of GDP at the level of about 0,1 percentage points next year and 0,2-0,3 in 2020-2021. Earlier, on September 14, the Central Bank unexpectedly for the market has raised a key interest rate and has frozen purchase of currency until the end of the year. To add BFM.ru to your sources of news?

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