New anti-Russian sanctions of the USA will be dot, but not the most rigid, predicts S&P. According to analysts from FGE, among sanctions there can be also a ban on import of the Russian oil. How to treat such forecasts? Georgy Bovt. Photo: Mikhail of Fomichev/TASS the Analytical agency FGE warned the clients and subscribers that among sanctions which the State Department is going to enter against Russia there can be a ban on import of the Russian oil. In turn, S&P made the forecast according to which the most rigid version of sanctions will not be accepted nevertheless, restrictions will concern only individuals, the companies and banks. How to treat such forecasts? About it is in Georgy Bovt's comment. In process of approach of time of introduction of the second package of the "chemical" sanctions coordinated to case of poisoning with Skripalya, probably, leaks in the press of rather possible maintenance of a sanctions package will only be multiplied. The other day the U.S. State Department reported that the administration already began consultations with the congress concerning such restrictive measures. Details did not follow, however specification was made: sanctions will be severe. "Dot" the State Department did not use a word. In the description of "The law on control of chemical and biological weapons" of 1991 according to which it is planned to enter the second package of sanctions there is no accurate instruction concerning that how many consultations with the congress can last. In August, at introduction of the first package which facetted export to Russia of dual-use products kept within three weeks. By the way, that package was not most rigid not of possible. Now it can be two or three weeks, to or right after the summit of "Group of Twenty" on November 30 too in Buenos Aires where so far Trump and Putin's meeting is planned previously. It is necessary to consider that the congress is employed with a partial peresmenka in connection with change of the power now in the House of Representatives where democrats received the majority. At the same time the law of 1991 obliges administration to apply at least three of the following six measures listed in this law: to interfere with providing financial aid to Russia from the international IMF financial institutions or the World Bank; to forbid the American banks to credit the Russian government; to limit export of all American goods and technologies; to limit import to the USA of any goods of the Russian origin, including oil and oil products; to suspend or lower the level of diplomatic relations; to forbid flights of the Russian state-owned airlines in the USA. Least painfully vote against the credits of Russia at the international financial institutions and downgrade of diplomatic relations looks. Though, considering the current nasty nature of these relations and process of consular service, close to paralysis, in both countries, hardly there is a big scope for new restriktion. As for the bans on flights of Aeroflot to the USA, this direction it is considered favorable and gives it about 5% of revenue. However at Russia is here
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