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Date: 10 months ago   Category: Finances

Ruble under pressure. On what values can be currencies by the end of the week?


In focus of attention of analysts: discussion of new sanctions and reduction in cost of currencies of developing countries. In the evening on Friday, September 7, at the auction for one euro gave 80,83 rubles, for dollar — nearly 70 rubles of the Photo: depositphotos.com Risk of imposition of new sanctions — a major factor of pressure upon ruble. Not only that over the Russian banks the prospect of disconnection from dollar, hangs here also madam Theresa May, the prime minister of Great Britain, has joined with requirements to aggravate sanctions because of business by Skripalya. Plus in the middle of the week the next hearing in the Senate of the USA where new tools on control of Russia will be discussed. It is possible that the sanctions rhetoric will come to the forefront again, then the ruble can hand over positions. In addition probably the sale of currencies of developing countries will continue. A situation is as follows: last week it hasn't been declared introduction of additional duties on the Chinese goods from the USA yet. This week such announcement from administration of U.S. President can take place, the chief analyst of Nordea Bank Denis Davydov considers: Denis Davydov the chief analyst of Nordea Bank "In this case risk assets will appear under pressure, the ruble won't become an exception. A certain support to ruble, though small, the high prices of oil and approach of the tax period will still render. Influence of these two factors only partially smooth the general negative which will continue to prevail in the market on the next week. It is rather heavy to predict what will be reaction of the markets to a sanctions subject, but so far we can say that the ruble can be trading in the range of 68-72 rubles together with US dollar". Experts agree in opinion that ruble exchange rate will strongly depend on rhetoric from the USA and Great Britain. If new sanctions statements don't follow, the ruble can roll away to the area 68 for dollar. Otherwise the dollar can exceed 70 rubles. What in this regard to do to the investor? The CEO of the company "explains Emkvart. Personal adviser" Natalya Smirnova:natalya Smirnova CEO of the company "Emkvarta. The personal adviser" "If the investor is ready to trade actively on exchange rates, is ready to risk that can not guess the direction, then it makes sense to try to catch dollar at the price below 68 rubles and to stake on the fact that in case of new verbal interventions he will leave higher than 69 and it will be possible to earn. It for the investors ready to risk. If we speak about a situation "throw bags — the station departs", then it is necessary to be bought by currency urgently. It is necessary to understand that now the dollar costs nearly 70 rubles if sanctions aren't imposed, then it can return to indicators lower than 65 within a year. If the investor is afraid, then, buying dollar now, he has to place them with profitability not below, than 6% per annum. It is impossible to buy and put dollars under a pillow now". At the same time it is better for eurobond to avoid as in case of the negative scenario because of sanctions they will lose in price. So far, probably, the ruble will remain in the area externally

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