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Date: a month ago   Category: Finances

Rosstat: in the first quarter the income of the population dropped by 2.3%


The Ministry of Economic Development considers that the flash reason — delay of growth of salaries. The expert Georgy Ostapkovich calls one more: 2018 because of elections "was year of bonuses", as created effect of high base of the Photo: depositphotos.com the Real located income of the population continue to fall. According to Rosstat, in the first quarter they decreased by 2.3% in comparison with the same period of 2018. Department for the first time published assessment of this indicator calculated by a new technique. Delay of growth of real salaries became one of the reasons of deterioration in dynamics of income, the Ministry of Economic Development notes. But it not only, the director of the Center of tactical researches of the HSE Georgy Ostapkovich explains. Georgy Ostapkovich the director of the Center of tactical researches of the HSE "The fact that the first quarter showed negative value and from what it has to rise suddenly? After all last year was elective, that is was year of bonuses when gave to state employees, indexed pensions. It always in all elective years a principled stand — income grows. Means, there was a high base of the first quarter of last year because in the first quarter pre-election bonuses therefore raised highly base in comparison were given. And the fact that the present first quarter without indexations sank for 2.3%, in principle is rather high loss, but I see nothing terrible". At the same time Rosstat counted indicators of last year and unexpectedly declared that instead of decline in income on the two tenth percent there was their growth by one tenth percent. Rosstat at the same time refers to new methodology of calculations. What can be really located income of the population following the results of this year? The situation is commented by the director of the Center of statistics and science of REU of Plekhanov Pavel Smelov. Pavel Smelov the director of the Center of statistics and science of REU of Plekhanov "Influence several factors. The first factor — growth of salaries at the middle class of the population, it will give positive dynamics. But at the same time fall of income at the population with a large income is observed recently, and at the expense of them there is a decrease in the general indicator, that is it is such balancing. And it is quite probable that there will be insignificant growth, it is expected according to all forecasts, but at the level of somewhere 1.5%. It is the maximum optimal variant". The Finance Minister Anton Siluanov in December said that calculation of real income of the population "opaque", quality its "awful" and a technique it is necessary to improve. The new technique was announced in March by the head of Rosstat Pavel Malkov. According to him, it will allow to consider nearly 90% of observed income of the population, and the share of shadow income in calculations is reduced from 26% to 11%. To add BFM.ru to your sources of news?

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