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Date: 10 months ago   Category: Finances

Pension and inflation — together or separately?


Will how really raise pensions? The authorities have stated about 7% again, but at the same time inflation grows. However, the government keeps those promises that gave in the summer. But whether so everything is smooth, how in calculations of the authorities? Photo: depositphotos.com Inflation, as we know, at everyone the. For the representative of the middle class she is nominally higher than figures of Rosstat because his basket rises in price quicker. But I am not so sensitive because a share of expenses on products in income not such big. For the Russian pensioners inflation approximately such as report statistics. But because a considerable part of pension is spent for food, she is much more sensitive. And here what occurs. In the summer the government has promised to index pensions for 7%. Maxim Topilin assumed that inflation will make 3,5%, and it has allowed the Minister of Labour to give beautiful number: pensions will raise twice above inflation. But towards the end of a year beauty has begun to evaporate. Inflation disperses. And the Deputy Prime Minister Anton Siluanov speaks about the same 7% now. The director of Institute of the strategic analysis of FBK Igor Nikolaev is perplexed: Igor Nikolaev the director of Institute of the strategic analysis of FBK "Arises a question already now: but whether indexation will be small? After the Bank of Russia has lifted the projections on inflation recently — as is well-known, this year it expects 4,2%, and in the following 5,5%. It is only expected official inflation. And if is higher at least on percentage point in the future? And if at such level pension remains?" Nevertheless it is necessary to recognize that the government keeps the promises. And the confirmed figure in 7%. Or other figure which too appeared more than once in statements of the government: pension will be increased by one thousand rubles. That's the same: average pension about 14 thousand, respectively, 7% are and there are about one thousand. Another thing is that growth of consumer prices will eat a part of this sum. Also it will turn out that life of pensioners in terms of money can improve less than for 3%. And we don't know final figure yet, Rosstat will confirm it only at the beginning of 2019. And to him four more months for which a lot of things can happen. However, the director of the Center of tactical researches of HSE Georgy Ostapkovich looks forward with optimism. Georgy Ostapkovich the director of the Center of tactical researches of HSE "At us a financial situation rather good today. Rather serious, good forecast for hydrocarbons, that is for our export potential. I don't exclude that it is just initial statements concerning 7%. If inflation disperses up to 5%, by the way, which declares to the Central Bank, then is quite real that the government will go for increase in pension more than 7%". Judging by present statements, the government won't reconsider pension indexing yet. Not without reason, when the Central Bank has worsened the forecast for inflation, Anton Siluanov called him overestimated. Other negative news play into the hands of the authorities. Promised us that pensions will make not less than 40% of income. And so, most likely, will also occur. Income at the population

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