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Date: 6 months ago   Category: Finances

Key interest rate: whether the opinion of officials and bankers will consider the Central Bank?


On Friday, September 14, the regulator will make the decision on a key interest rate. This time the meeting was preceded by bright discussion and also noticeable depreciation of the ruble the Bank of Russia. Photo: depositphotos.com Initially the market assumed that the Bank of Russia for the first time since 2014 can toughen policy. However a number of the high-ranking officials have supported that it hasn't occurred. In particular, last week Dmitry Medvedev has said that rates of the credits for business remain high. The prime minister has told that he counts on an active position of the Central Bank. This week the Assistant to the President Andrey Belousov called increase in a rate undesirable. Were a statement and other officials and bankers. Whether the independent regulator will consider all this? Opinion of the leading expert of the Center of the political analysis Mikhail Zakharov: Mikhail Zakharov the leading expert of the Center of the political analysis "The Central Bank usually doesn't do any sharp movements if there are no reasons for it special. The ruble has failed for 10%, but 10% are quite tolerant devaluation, today it became stronger and has even won back about a ruble to dollar. There is no accident, and in this sense the decision to raise a rate, I think, the Central Bank quite can accept absolutely independently, without looking back at opinion of participants of the market and even members of the government". Most of the economists interviewed by Bloomberg consider that the regulator will keep a rate, and only two experts have assumed that the Central Bank will raise it, but on only a quarter of percentage point. Last time the Bank of Russia reduced a rate in March, to 7,25%, and since then didn't change the policy. It is unlikely it will occur and now, the chief economist of PF Capital Evgeny Nadorshin:evgeny Nadorshin the chief economist of PF "Capital" "Predicts increase in a rate on 0,5, 0,25 as call some allegedly is unfairly optimistical to calm the market which is rather quiet two days and even, for this purpose single change of a rate isn't necessary. To reduce it now too there are no bases: so far it is really absolutely unevident as the situation with inflationary processes will develop, inflation on the medium-term horizon became less predictable. And considering that the Central Bank keeps several months a pause in a cycle of decrease in a rate, reasonable this pause and to continue that". Will traditionally announce meeting results on monetary policy of the Central Bank at 13:30 across Moscow. After that the regulator will hold a press conference. To add BFM.ru to your sources of news?

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