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Date: 10 months ago   Category: Politics

Idlib of contention. Whether the Astana process will be buried?


The West says that Assad is going to use chemical weapon in the Syrian province and threatens Damascus with "the serious answer". Russia claims that it is provocation. What is behind these charges and whether simple decisions are possible in this situation? Photo: Omar Sanadiki/Reuters to Damascus is threatened with "the serious answer". Representatives of the USA, Great Britain and France have quite so formulated what can occur during the meeting of the UN Security Council called at the initiative of Russia on Tuesday, August 28. The West says that Assad is going to use chemical weapon in Idlib Governorate. Russia in return speaks about provocation. Idlib is that province of Syria to which have allowed to leave to supporters of ill-matched groups and so-called moderate and radical opposition after government troops of Syria have taken control over Aleppo. In September, 2017 Russia, Iran and Turkey at negotiations in Astana have agreed that in Idlib the de-escalation zone under control of Turkey will be created. Now Damascus, apparently, has decided to return her under the control. That is it is actually possible to tell that now there is funeral of the Astana process. At the same time Turkey realizes that having lost Idlib, it will lose the influence in the region. It is worth reminding that Recep Erdogan repeatedly called unfair the Lausanne peace treaty of 1923 — that is, he considers this territory Turkish. And if to do without historical digressions, then control over Idlib allows him to constrain activity so unloved him Kurds. Well, and in a makeweight — loss of Idlib is fraught for Turkey with the next considerable portion of refugees of whom it is more than three has some as it is. At the same time it is impossible to tell that Turkey completely controls this territory, the head of the Baku club of political scientists South Caucasus Ilgar Velizade says. Ilgar Velizade the head of the Baku club of political scientists South Caucasus "In Idlib very ill-matched groups are concentrated, the relations between them not always develop smoothly. Government troops try to take all territories of Syria under control. In process of successful operations of a contradiction between these groups in Idlib amplify. Even Turkey isn't able to provide complete control over a situation. Russia is interested in that around Idlib the conflict didn't escalate. She prefers dialogue both with Assad, and with the Turkish side, but as far as the situation will give in to control further, to assume very difficult". Russia, apparently, has decided to give carte blanche to al-Assad's regime, hoping that he, having occupied Idlib, will quickly and effectively split knot of civil war in Syria. Perhaps, business will also burn out, but nevertheless chances that the situation will manage to be returned to that that was till 2011, ischezayushche are small. Too much since then in the region it has been mixed different forces, the deputy chief editor of online edition "Daily Magazine" Alexander Golts considers. Alexander Golts the deputy chief editor of online edition "Daily Magazine" "Seeks to finish Bashar al-Assad's regime гражданс

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