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Date: 4 months ago   Category: Politics

Donald Trump and the divided congress. Georgy Bovt's comment


Georgy Bovt.
Following the results of intermediate elections republicans have lost the majority in the House of Representatives of the Congress. How the political policy of the USA will change now and whether to wait for toughening of the anti-Russian sanctions? Georgy Bovt. Photo: Mikhail of Fomichev/TASS as a result of intermediate elections the Republican Party of the USA has lost the majority in the House of Representatives of the Congress. After final counting of votes she will concede to democrats about three tens voices. But republicans will strengthen the advantage in the senate — to 53 or even 54 voices from 100. How will the new alignment of forces in the congress affect in policy of the president Donald Trump and the Russian-American relations in particular? Georgy Bovt comments. No unexpected factors, especially external, have spoiled game of forecasts of rather current elections, unlike the last presidential. The markets have apprehended their results exactly as they usually react to elimination of uncertainty and the coming true forecasts — the inspired rise. In relation to the American market, in particular, wait for the compelled and inevitable cooperation of two parties in the divided congress in implementation of the large-scale program of modernization of the American infrastructure. But new measures of tax incentives, most likely, won't be any more. Nothing threatens in general and to plans of increase in the military budget of the USA. Respectively, and to stocks of the companies of military industrial complex. Democrats have agreed with increase in military expenses even earlier. But Trump, perhaps, should behave more frostily in unleashing of new trade wars and to go to compromises in already begun. The House of Representatives traditionally possesses the initiatives connected with financial questions. The democratic majority in her which is adjusted more globalist than republicans, will try not to allow Trump to undermine the developed trade partnership even stronger. But on the relations with Russia where between two to parties the consensus is observed, under the influence of Democratic party it is necessary to wait for toughening of a position of legislators under which consideration two large-scale bills of new anti-Russian sanctions already are. Earlier the White House had more opportunities to agree zakulisno with the republican majority concerning mitigation of separate odious provisions of the relevant legislation for the sake of freedom of hands in negotiations with Moscow. Now such opportunities will remain only in the senate. On the other hand, Trump can be moved to manifestation of a bigger rigidity in the relations with Russia. Also will push him to it new alignment of forces in the congress. Now democrats, having received the majority in the lower house and the management of all her committees, will be able to summon representatives of administration, members of an inner circle of Trump and him to the congress for evidence under the oath. Still such attempts were blocked by republicans. Democrats have about about ten subjects on which they are ready to intensify investigations against Trump. Among them and business about so-called "the Russian intervention in elections

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